The sheer amount of tennis that’s played every week throughout the season, both in women’s and men’s circuit, gives betting exchange traders ample opportunities to score major profits from tennis trading on various betting exchanges. Let’s go over some of the most prominent and regularly used strategies for tennis trading:
Know your players well
You can’t be successful at any tennis trading strategy if you don’t know your players well. Please note, it can be a pretty daunting task to know about all the women’s and men’s tennis players. However, if you’re sincere in your research, you immensely swell up your profits in this market. You should know how a player would respond in certain circumstances, how he plays in different tournaments, how he deals with adverse situations and how have his past performances on different playing surfaces been. You should also know the basic match statistics, for instance serve and return percentages. Knowing all these things can put you in a very healthy position as you trade on tennis markets, especially the in-play betting markets.
Then, you should also watch as must tennis as possible, and make notes on all players falling in the top 200 rankings, in both women’s and men’s game. This is unavoidable if you’re serious about long-term success in this market.
We understand it’s hard work, but you should approach it in this manner – how many traders you think would be aware how a particular player ranked 70th in the world would respond when he is 2 sets down on a grass surface, in a warm-up tournament leading up to Wimbledon? Not many. Knowledge is power and it can directly translate into profits when trading in-play tennis betting markets.
Be aware of market overreactions and the dynamics of the match
Although it’s very important to know your players, it is equally important to correctly anticipate market overreactions and understand match dynamics for anyone serious about succeeding at tennis trading on betting exchanges. You should know that a market may overreact at many different moments of a tennis match.
For instance, when you’re trading on 3 set matches, you’ll see that a player’s odds may get shortened significantly if he wins the first set. And this may be all the more true if he wins the first set in a very commanding fashion, for instance, with a score line of 6 – 1. You can expect the market to overreact at this point of the match, and this may be all the more true if the two players were trading at even money in the pre-match betting market, or have similar abilities as per your own research.
What’s unique about tennis is that even though a player may end up winning the first set easily, he’s still leading the match only 1 – 0, into the second set. His commanding performance in the opening set may make market to overreact and think that the pre-match odds weren’t actually true, and that this player is far superior to his opponent, or is at least in a better form. Laying a player at short odds after he scores an impressive win in the first set, can prove to be an excellent strategy as in most cases, the opposite player may work his way back into the match, by winning the 2nd set, giving you ample opportunity to exit from your lay bet in the 3rd set, and take home a guaranteed profit.
One more event which can lead to market overreaction is the break of serve. Break of serves become all the more relevant during the later stages of a set, when the opposite player may not get as many opportunities to break back before the conclusion of the set. You should ideally lay players who manage to break serve later in the set, as markets will normally overreact thinking that the player will most likely hold onto his serve, and take the set. It can turn out to be a very profitable strategy in women’s tennis, as you’ll see considerably more breaks of serves there, and a far bigger potential of the opposite player to respond with her own break.
Generally, a market normally reacts more whenever a player drops his/her serve, rather than when he/she holds it. You should keep this fact in mind while trading tennis markets on any betting exchange.
You may also find it profitable to lay players when they’re trying to close out matches. Markets tend to overreact and think that the other player’s chances of a fight back are minimum. This can prove to be a particularly profitable strategy when a player is 2 – 0 up, and is all set to close out a men’s Grand Slam match. That player’s odds may be considerably shorter at that point of time, compared to the actual probability of him winning before the match. In the event that his opponent manages to win that particular set, you’ll be easily able to exit from your lay bet and book a handsome profit.